The early June forecast is refined, accounting for the evolution of global climate patterns in June-July. This August update reflects a trend towards a more active signal from the main climate indicators but does not explicitly include the record-breaking early season activity observed so far this year. Currently eleven named storms have already been observed in the North Atlantic basin compared to an expected value of approximately three for this time of year. Storm activity is expected to be higher than the short term climatology (15.3 between 2000-2019) with 18.7 storms predicted, up from the June forecast of 17.6.
Please click here to download your copy of the Forecast Update
